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Hurricane Iota Wind Speed Probabilities Number 9
2020-11-15 15:36:17| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC SUN NOV 15 2020 000 FONT11 KNHC 151436 PWSAT1 HURRICANE IOTA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL312020 1500 UTC SUN NOV 15 2020 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IOTA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 80 KTS ...90 MPH...150 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT BELIZE CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) 5(16) X(16) BELIZE CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) BELIZE CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) PUERTO BARRIOS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 9(14) 6(20) X(20) PUERTO BARRIOS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) PUERTO BARRIOS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) GUANAJA 34 X 3( 3) 7(10) 14(24) 11(35) 3(38) X(38) GUANAJA 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 8(12) 1(13) X(13) GUANAJA 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) PUERTO CABEZAS 34 3 15(18) 57(75) 11(86) 2(88) X(88) X(88) PUERTO CABEZAS 50 X 3( 3) 37(40) 20(60) 4(64) X(64) X(64) PUERTO CABEZAS 64 X X( X) 22(22) 14(36) 3(39) X(39) X(39) BLUEFIELDS 34 3 2( 5) 3( 8) 6(14) 3(17) 1(18) X(18) BLUEFIELDS 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) SAN ANDRES 34 5 27(32) 8(40) 2(42) 1(43) X(43) X(43) SAN ANDRES 50 3 5( 8) 3(11) X(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) SAN ANDRES 64 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) LIMON 34 1 4( 5) 1( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) COLON 34 3 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GRAND CAYMAN 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) KINGSTON 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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