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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-05-15 19:41:27| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 151741 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Wed May 15 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: South of the Coast of Mexico: An area of low pressure is forecast to form several hundred miles to the south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec within the next couple of days. Gradual development is possible thereafter, and a tropical depression could form over the weekend while the system moves slowly to the west-northwest or northwest, remaining south of the coast of Mexico through early next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent. && Today marks the first day of the eastern North Pacific hurricane season, which will run until November 30. Long-term averages for the number of named storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes are 15, 8, and 4, respectively. The list of names for 2024 is as follows: Name Pronunciation Name Pronunciation ------------------------------------------------------------- Aletta a-LET-ah Miriam MEER-ee-uhm Bud buhd Norman NOR-muhn Carlotta kar-LOT-uh Olivia oh-LEEV-ee-uh Daniel DAN-yuhl Paul pall Emilia eh-MILL-ya Rosa ROH-zuh Fabio FAH-bee-o Sergio SIR-gee-oh Gilma GIL-mah Tara TAIR-uh Hector HEHK-tor Vicente vee-CEN-tay Ileana ill-ay-AH-nah Willa WIH-lah John jahn Xavier ZAY-vee-ur Kristy KRIS-tee Yolanda yo-LAHN-da Lane layne Zeke zeek A full list of eastern North Pacific basin tropical cyclone names and pronunciations can be found at: www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/aboutnames_pronounce_epac.pdf This product, the Tropical Weather Outlook, briefly describes significant areas of disturbed weather and their potential for tropical cyclone formation during the next seven days. The issuance times of this product are 5 AM, 11 AM, 5 PM, and 11 PM PDT. After the change to standard time in November, the issuance times are 4 AM, 10 AM, 4 PM, and 10 PM PST. A Special Tropical Weather Outlook will be issued to provide updates, as necessary, in between the regularly scheduled issuances of the Tropical Weather Outlook. Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued under the same WMO and AWIPS headers as the regular Tropical Weather Outlooks. A standard package of products, consisting of the tropical cyclone public advisory, the forecast/advisory, the cyclone discussion, and a wind speed probability product, is issued every six hours for all ongoing tropical cyclones. In addition, a special advisory package may be issued at any time to advise of significant unexpected changes or to modify watches or warnings. NHC has the option to issue advisories, watches, and warnings for disturbances that are not yet a tropical cyclone, but which pose the threat of bringing tropical storm or hurricane conditions to land areas within 48 hours. For these land-threatening "potential tropical cyclones", NHC will issue the full suite of advisory and watch/warning products. Potential tropical cyclones share the naming conventions currently in place for tropical depressions, being numbered from a single list (e.g., "One-E", "Two-E", "Three-E", etc.). The Tropical Cyclone Update is a brief statement to inform of significant changes in a tropical cyclone, to post or cancel watches or warnings, or to provide hourly position updates between intermediate advisories when the storm center is easily followed by radar. The Tropical Cyclone Update is also used in lieu of or to precede the issuance of a special advisory package. Tropical Cyclone Updates, which can be issued at any time, can be found under WMO header WTPZ61-65 KNHC, and under AWIPS header MIATCUEP1-5. All NHC text and graphical products are available on the web at https://www.hurricanes.gov. More information on NHC text products can be found at https://www.hurricanes.gov/aboutnhcprod.shtml, while more information about NHC graphical products can be found at https://www.hurricanes.gov/aboutnhcgraphics.shtml. New and updated products for the 2024 season can be found at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/NHC_Updates_2024.pdf NHC is now providing Spanish language text products to include all Public Advisories, the Tropical Cyclone Discussion, the Tropical Cyclone Update, and Key Messages for the eastern Pacific basin. These products will use AI techniques tested in 2023. Links to Spanish-language advisory products will be available on hurricanes.gov. Information on headers for Spanish language products can be found in the 2024 new and updated products for the 2024 season document at: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/NHC_Updates_2024.pdf You can also interact with NHC on Facebook at https://www.facebook.com/NWSNHC. Notifications are available via Twitter when select NHC products are issued. Information about our eastern Pacific Twitter feed is available at https://www.hurricanes.gov/twitter.php $$ Forecaster Hagen/Blake
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-05-15 19:27:27| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 151727 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Wed May 15 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days. && Today, May 15th, marks the first day of routine issuance of the Atlantic basin Tropical Weather Outlook in 2024. This product describes significant areas of disturbed weather and their potential for tropical cyclone formation during the next seven days. The Tropical Weather Outlook is issued from May 15 through November 30 each year. The issuance times of this product are 2 AM, 8 AM, 2 PM, and 8 PM EDT. After the change to standard time in November, the issuance times are 1 AM, 7 AM, 1 PM, and 7 PM EST. A Special Tropical Weather Outlook will be issued to provide updates, as necessary, in between the regularly scheduled issuances of the Tropical Weather Outlook. Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued under the same WMO and AWIPS headers as the regular Tropical Weather Outlooks. A graphical version of the Tropical Weather Outlook is available on the web at: https://www.hurricanes.gov $$ Forecaster Hagen/Blake
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-05-15 13:37:21| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 151137 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Wed May 15 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: South of the Coast of Mexico: An area of low pressure is forecast to form several hundred miles to the south or southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec late this week. Thereafter, some gradual development of this system is possible as the low moves slowly to the west-northwest, remaining south of the coast of Mexico through early next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent. && Today marks the first day of the eastern North Pacific hurricane season, which will run until November 30. Long-term averages for the number of named storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes are 15, 8, and 4, respectively. The list of names for 2024 is as follows: Name Pronunciation Name Pronunciation ------------------------------------------------------------- Aletta a-LET-ah Miriam MEER-ee-uhm Bud buhd Norman NOR-muhn Carlotta kar-LOT-uh Olivia oh-LEEV-ee-uh Daniel DAN-yuhl Paul pall Emilia eh-MILL-ya Rosa ROH-zuh Fabio FAH-bee-o Sergio SIR-gee-oh Gilma GIL-mah Tara TAIR-uh Hector HEHK-tor Vicente vee-CEN-tay Ileana ill-ay-AH-nah Willa WIH-lah John jahn Xavier ZAY-vee-ur Kristy KRIS-tee Yolanda yo-LAHN-da Lane layne Zeke zeek This product, the Tropical Weather Outlook, briefly describes significant areas of disturbed weather and their potential for tropical cyclone formation during the next seven days. The issuance times of this product are 5 AM, 11 AM, 5 PM, and 11 PM PDT. After the change to standard time in November, the issuance times are 4 AM, 10 AM, 4 PM, and 10 PM PST. A Special Tropical Weather Outlook will be issued to provide updates, as necessary, in between the regularly scheduled issuances of the Tropical Weather Outlook. Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued under the same WMO and AWIPS headers as the regular Tropical Weather Outlooks. A standard package of products, consisting of the tropical cyclone public advisory, the forecast/advisory, the cyclone discussion, and a wind speed probability product, is issued every six hours for all ongoing tropical cyclones. In addition, a special advisory package may be issued at any time to advise of significant unexpected changes or to modify watches or warnings. NHC has the option to issue advisories, watches, and warnings for disturbances that are not yet a tropical cyclone, but which pose the threat of bringing tropical storm or hurricane conditions to land areas within 48 hours. For these land-threatening "potential tropical cyclones", NHC will issue the full suite of advisory and watch/warning products. Potential tropical cyclones share the naming conventions currently in place for tropical depressions, being numbered from a single list (e.g., "One-E", "Two-E", "Three-E", etc.). The Tropical Cyclone Update is a brief statement to inform of significant changes in a tropical cyclone, to post or cancel watches or warnings, or to provide hourly position updates between intermediate advisories when the storm center is easily followed by radar. The Tropical Cyclone Update is also used in lieu of or to precede the issuance of a special advisory package. Tropical Cyclone Updates, which can be issued at any time, can be found under WMO header WTPZ61-65 KNHC, and under AWIPS header MIATCUEP1-5. All NHC text and graphical products are available on the web at https://www.hurricanes.gov. More information on NHC text products can be found at https://www.hurricanes.gov/aboutnhcprod.shtml, while more information about NHC graphical products can be found at https://www.hurricanes.gov/aboutnhcgraphics.shtml. New and updated products for the 2024 season can be found at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/NHC_Updates_2024.pdf NHC is now providing Spanish language text products to include all Public Advisories, the Tropical Cyclone Discussion, the Tropical Cyclone Update, and Key Messages for the eastern Pacific basin. These products will use AI techniques tested in 2023. Links to Spanish-language advisory products will be available on hurricanes.gov. Information on headers for Spanish language products can be found in the 2024 new and updated products for the 2024 season document at: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/NHC_Updates_2024.pdf You can also interact with NHC on Facebook at https://www.facebook.com/NWSNHC. Notifications are available via Twitter when select NHC products are issued. Information about our eastern Pacific Twitter feed is available at https://www.hurricanes.gov/twitter.php $$ Forecaster Hagen/Blake
Category: Transportation and Logistics