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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-10-09 19:48:15| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 091747 CCA TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook...Corrected NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Sat Oct 9 2021 Corrected wording in first paragraph For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Satellite-derived wind data and surface observations indicate that a large, non-tropical low pressure system located about 150 miles southeast of Morehead City and Wilmington, North Carolina, is producing a broad area of gale-force winds to the west and north of the center. Associated shower and thunderstorm activity has been gradually increasing and becoming better organized today, and the low could acquire subtropical characteristics late this afternoon through early Sunday. However, by late Sunday and Monday, environmental conditions should become unfavorable for any further development. The low is forecast to move slowly northwestward during the next day or so, and approach the North Carolina coast tonight and early Sunday. Therefore, interests along the North Carolina coast should monitor the progress of this system. See local National Weather Service office products for more information. Regardless of development, intermittent periods of locally heavy rains and gusty winds will affect southeastern and eastern portions of North Carolina during the next day or two. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is currently investigating the gale area. Additional information on this low pressure system, including gale warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php $$ Forecaster Stewart

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